Consensus confidence
Confidence
What it is
Reliability level of the consolidated verdict: "High", "Medium", "Low". Depends on the number of active sources (1 to 4) and their degree of convergence. Four aligned sources = high confidence; two opposing sources = low confidence.
How to read it
A Strong Buy with Low confidence should be read skeptically — sources disagree. A Hold with High confidence means all sources agree on absence of signal — which is itself useful information (don't over-interpret noise).
Common reference points
- High — aligned sources3-4 sources converging
- Medium2-3 sources with mild disagreement
- Low — contradictory sourcesMarked disagreement between sources
Orders of magnitude, not a rule: the same number does not mean the same thing from one sector to the next.
What it does not tell you
Confidence measures internal convergence, not external correctness. Four sources can all be wrong in the same way (market bias, stale data). Always weight with your own judgment.
Other measures — Polaris score
Educational content. Polaris is not a registered investment adviser and makes no recommendation.